Production Gap Report 2025

The Production Gap Report 2025, released on 22 September and supported by the UN, has warned that global fossil fuel production plans far exceed climate-safe limits, placing the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C and 2°C goals at severe risk. By 2030, governments are projected to produce 120% above 1.5°C pathways and 77% above 2°C limits, with coal output alone expected to overshoot by 500%. Major producers like China, the US, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Nigeria, and India continue expanding coal, oil, and gas production despite record subsidies and rising stranded asset risks. The report calls for no new fossil projects, faster renewable expansion, and just energy transitions to protect workers.